Equity Watch 2011
20 Dec 2011:
Nifty Buy advised at 4591 for Targets
4933, 5077 & 5239. Next Targets 5347, 5500 & 5662.
Target 1 achieved - Nifty at
4988 on
on 17 January 2012. - Nifty
at 5234 (close to Target 3)
on 31 January 2012.
Further rises expected only on
a sustained momentum above 5257 for targets of 5347, 5500 &
5662.
- Nifty
at 5357.50 (Target 4 Achieved)
on 3 February 2012.
- Nifty
at 5451.65
on 9 February 2012.
- Nifty
at 5700
on 17 February 2012. All Upside
(large) targets achieved in a timeframe when only negative
sentiments have been doing rounds globally. Majority of the
Traders missed out this huge rally & in fact also lost large
chunks of own capital, on following the "Sell at all rises"
advise given out by almost all during this period.
23 Nov 2011: Nifty buy advised
on 23 November at dips to 4645 for targets of 4951, 5077 & 5239.
Target 2 achieved - Nifty at 5094 on
on 2 December 2011.
18 Nov 2011:
Nifty sell advised below 5000 for a dip to
below 4645. Target achieved on 23 Nov 2011. Nifty below 4650.
2 Jan - 2012. - For the next over a decade 2012 till 2025:
SECTORS EXPECTED TO RISE 2012 ONWARDS-
Water related Industry, Power and Energy, Pharmacy, Entertainment,
Music, Films, Healthcare and Agriculture sectors
are the Top recommended ones for major investments. Education, Telecom,
Hospitality and Infrastructure take 2nd positions.
SECTORS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK-
Technology,
Banking, Metals, Realty, Auto, Exports, Gems and Broking. Be very cautious of
Technology, Banking and Realty sectors.
24 Jan 2012:
India cut
cash reserve requirements for banks by 50 basis points on
Tuesday to ease tight liquidity conditions, signaling a shift in
policy towards reviving growth after two years of fighting
inflation. With core inflation still stubbornly high, the
Reserve Bank of India as expected left its policy repo rate
unchanged at 8.50 percent for the second consecutive review. The
RBI had raised rates 13 times between March 2010 and October
2011, making it one of the most hawkish central bank anywhere.
"The growth-inflation balance of the monetary policy stance has
now shifted to growth, while at the same time ensuring that
inflationary pressures remain contained," RBI Governor Duvvuri
Subbarao said in his policy statement. Still, Subbarao said the
"current inflation trajectory" made it premature to cut the
policy rate, disappointing markets looking for definitive
guidance on an interest rate cut.
Banks are
likely to reduce lending rates for select sectors and may see an
improvement in their net interest margins after the central bank
cut cash reserve requirements for banks, top bankers said on
Tuesday. The lending rates
may be reduced for segments which are seeing higher demand for
credit and lower level of defaults, Pratip Chaudhuri, chairman
of State Bank of India, the country's top lender, said.
BSE Sensex
rose 1.46 percent on Tuesday to its highest close in 10 weeks,
after the Reserve Bank of India signalled a policy shift towards
reviving growth, boosting appetite for stocks in Asia's third
largest economy. Banks led
the gains after the RBI cut the cash reserve ratio, or the
proportion of deposits that commercial banks must keep with the
RBI, to ease tight liquidity. RBI
gave an indication that there could be a repo rate cut somewhere
in the future and probably see a 25 basis point cut in March or
April.
Indian rupee closed up 5 paise at 50.04 against the US
dollar today, briefly hitting highs under 50 per US dollar as
the local markets soared after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
cut its cash reserve ratio (CRR) by 50 basis points to 5.5% from
6% at a quarterly policy review today. Key local equity
benchmark indices reached their highest closing level in more
than 10 weeks. In global currency markets, the US dollar is
quoting flat at 1.3010 against the Euro right now. The partially
convertible rupee had tested a two and half month high of 49.92
against the US dollar today in local markets.
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